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Bitcoin’s Critical Juncture: New Buyer Surge Signals Potential Breakout

Bitcoin’s Critical Juncture: New Buyer Surge Signals Potential Breakout

Published:
2025-10-13 12:02:24
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As of October 13, 2025, Bitcoin finds itself at a pivotal moment in its market cycle, with recent on-chain data revealing a significant influx of new investors entering the cryptocurrency space. The Short-Term Holder Supply has experienced a remarkable increase of 559,000 Bitcoin, indicating substantial buying activity from market participants who have acquired their holdings within recent periods. This surge in new buyer participation comes at a crucial technical juncture for the world's leading cryptocurrency. The market currently exhibits characteristics of consolidation after weeks of notable volatility and record-breaking price performance. Bitcoin's price action suggests the digital asset is preparing for a decisive move that will determine its near-term trajectory. Technical analysts are closely watching whether Bitcoin can successfully reclaim its all-time highs and enter what market participants refer to as 'price discovery' mode, where new historical price levels would be established. Market sentiment remains delicately balanced, with traders and institutional investors alike awaiting clear directional signals before committing to significant positions. The substantial increase in short-term holder supply suggests growing retail and institutional interest, potentially providing the fundamental support needed for a sustained upward movement. However, market participants remain cautious, recognizing that such periods of consolidation often precede significant price movements in either direction. The current market dynamics present both opportunities and risks for investors. The influx of new buyers indicates growing mainstream adoption and confidence in Bitcoin's long-term value proposition, while the increased short-term supply could potentially create selling pressure if these newer investors decide to take profits during price rallies. Market analysts are monitoring key resistance and support levels to gauge the likelihood of either a breakout to new highs or a period of extended consolidation. This development occurs within the broader context of increasing institutional adoption, regulatory clarity in major markets, and growing recognition of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. The coming weeks are expected to provide crucial insights into whether this new buyer momentum can propel Bitcoin into uncharted territory or if the market requires additional time to build a stronger foundation for the next major move.

Short-Term Holder Supply Rises By 559K Bitcoin – New Buyers Flood the Market

Bitcoin stands at a crossroads, poised for a decisive MOVE that will shape its near-term trajectory. After weeks of volatility and record-breaking highs, the cryptocurrency faces a critical test: reclaim all-time highs to enter price discovery or consolidate at current levels. Market sentiment remains finely balanced, with traders awaiting clear directional signals.

On-chain data reveals a surge in new buyers, marking one of the strongest capital inflows in months. The supply held by short-term holders has grown by 559,000 BTC over the past quarter, reflecting fresh participation. This influx suggests investors increasingly view current price levels as an opportunity rather than a peak.

Analysts maintain a bullish outlook on Bitcoin's underlying market structure. Provided key support levels hold, the stage may be set for another breakout. Such a move could propel BTC beyond previous records into uncharted territory, reigniting the upward momentum that has characterized its recent performance.

Bitcoin Holders Show Restraint as Prices Hit Record Highs

Bitcoin's ascent to a new all-time high above $126,000 has failed to trigger significant profit-taking among holders, signaling enduring confidence in the cryptocurrency's upward trajectory. On-chain data reveals realized profits of just 0.26 million BTC ($30 billion) over the past month—half July's figures and far below the $78-$99 billion peaks seen during previous market cycles.

The muted selling pressure suggests investors anticipate further gains. "When holders refuse to cash out at record prices, it typically means they're waiting for higher levels," notes Julio Moreno of CryptoQuant. Annual realized profit metrics continue their upward trend, a historical precursor to sustained bullish momentum.

Short-term traders are locking in minimal 2% gains, well below the 8% threshold associated with market tops. Long-term holders show even greater restraint, with realized profit margins at 129%—substantially lower than cycle extremes. This collective discipline mirrors patterns seen in early-stage bull markets rather than speculative peaks.

Block's Square Enables Bitcoin Payments for Merchants with Fee Waiver Until 2026

Block has rolled out Square Bitcoin, allowing U.S. merchants—excluding those in New York—to accept BTC payments starting November 10. Sellers can convert up to 50% of daily revenue into Bitcoin via Square's dashboard, managing holdings through a built-in wallet. The feature targets mainstream adoption by mimicking card payment simplicity while offering corporate-grade financial tools to small businesses.

Processing fees will remain waived until 2026, after which a 1% transaction fee takes effect in 2027. Miles Suter, Block's Head of bitcoin Product, emphasized the dual advantage of Square and Cash App integration: "We're bridging the gap between crypto and daily commerce, preparing merchants for a digital-first future."

The announcement propelled Block's shares (NYSE: XYZ) up 2.6%. With over 4 million merchants on Square's platform, this initiative could significantly accelerate Bitcoin's utility as a transactional currency.

Bitcoin Retreats From $126K Peak as Market Watches 'Uptober' Sustainability

Bitcoin's rally faltered after touching $126,000, though the cryptocurrency retains most gains with a 7% October surge. The market now weighs whether seasonal trends and institutional flows can sustain momentum.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $2.2 billion in weekly inflows - among the strongest since April - while wallets holding 10-1,000 BTC show persistent accumulation. Glassnode data confirms institutional participation is absorbing spot supply and improving liquidity.

Despite rising leverage signaling potential short-term volatility, on-chain metrics suggest the broader bullish structure remains intact. Q4 historically delivers Bitcoin's strongest performance, often aligning with renewed risk appetite among investors.

Bitcoin Emerges as the Benchmark in Modern Finance, Says Pompliano

Bitcoin's relentless rally continues to defy expectations, with Anthony Pompliano framing it as the new "hurdle rate" for investors. The cryptocurrency recently notched an all-time high of $126,100, trading around $122,500 at press time—a testament to its growing dominance.

In a CNBC interview, Pompliano positioned Bitcoin as a "savings technology," arguing that allocating a portion of one's wealth to BTC safeguards against fiat currency debasement. "They will never stop printing money," he remarked, underscoring Bitcoin's scarcity as a counterbalance to expansive monetary policies.

The narrative shifts from speculative asset to foundational wealth storage. Pompliano's thesis hinges on Bitcoin outperforming traditional assets, forcing investors to clear its returns before considering alternatives. This paradigm, he suggests, will accelerate adoption and redefine portfolio construction.

Bitcoin and Altcoin Open Interest Mirrors December 2024 Warning Pattern, Analyst Warns

A cryptocurrency analyst has identified a concerning trend in the derivatives market: Bitcoin and altcoin open interest is replicating a setup that preceded previous market downturns. The metric, which tracks outstanding derivative positions across exchanges, has surged alongside Bitcoin's recent price rally—suggesting increased speculative activity.

When open interest rises, it signals traders are opening fresh Leveraged positions, often amplifying volatility. The current pattern bears striking resemblance to conditions observed in December 2024, which preceded significant market contraction. Historical data shows such spikes in speculative interest frequently precede liquidity cascades as overleveraged positions unwind.

Market participants should note this technical warning coincides with Bitcoin testing key psychological resistance levels. The altcoin market—typically more volatile than Bitcoin—appears particularly vulnerable given its correlation with BTC derivatives flows.

|Square

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